电台播出系统运行趋势预测及风险评估的理论研究和技术实现

Theoretical Research and Technique Implementation of Radio Station's Broadcasting System Running Trend Forecasting and Risk Assessment

本文主要论述了关于广播电台运行趋势预测及风险评估的研究情况,提出了一种定量地分析电台播出系统安全风险和实现系统运行趋势预测的方法,该方法运用仿真理论、专家系统和模糊数学风险评估等手段。

To forecast running trend and future failure probability of broadcasting system can prevent or even eliminate hidden faults.Using methods such as simulation systems,expert systems and risk assessment,the paper presents a method to quantitatively analyze security risk and to realize running trend forecast for radio station’s broadcasting system.This can provide a base of theory and technique implementation for radio station’s intelligent warning system.