指数模型参数估计及其在通讯预测中的应用

EXPONENTIAL CURVE MODEL PARAMETERS ESTIMATION AND APPLICATION IN COMMUNICATION FORECAST

本文提出了指数模型参数估计的一种方法，并应用指数模型对我国长途电话话务量进行预测．该预测方法较文献［１—２」中精确，从而说明此方法是可行的．

In this paper, We propose the method of estimation of exponential curve model parameters and apply it to forecast long-distance call amount. It is proved that the method is more accurate than those in paper[1 -2] .