苏州太湖地区现代气候灾害演变初步分析

An Initial Analyse of the Evolution of Climate Disasters of Tat Hu Lake-Suzhou Region in Modern Times

根据苏州气象资料和太湖水情资料分析，１９８０年以来，太湖地区气候灾害演变的特点表现为隆冬偏暖、初夏高温、盛夏偏凉等气温异常的频度明显上升，降水仍持续４０年准周期变化，１９８０年至１９９０年初雨水异常偏多，特大洪涝连续出现，是一个气候异常的多灾时期。

Based on the meteorological data in Suzhou and the regimen data of Tai Hu Lake, the analysis of the evolution feature of the climate disasters of Suzhou region in 1980s showed that, compared with the past periods 1950s～1970s, there are increasingly in various climate disasters, such as warmer in mid-winter,high temperature injury in early summer, cooler in mid-summer.There has been more rainfull in rain-season with the 40 year quasi-period anomaly,and several catastrophic floods occured continuously from 1980s to early 1990s.