Relation Between Deformation Precursors of Fault-Network in the Capital Circle and the Datong Earthquake (M_s6.1)

In this paper,the method of Information Synthesis of Seismogenic System(ISSS)has been used to describe and evaluate the evolution process of self-organization of seismcgenic system in the Capital circle.Through the synthesis of precursory information,the criterion and possible index which characterize the transition of the seismogenic system from steady-state to unsteady-state and then towards the attractor cif a new steady-state have been investigated.The result shows that the synthesis of comprehensive precursor)deformation anomalies of the seismogenic large system(fault-network in the Capital circle),the information synthesis of precursory anomalies of sub-system(a few main fault zones in the Capital circle),and the unweighted or weighted synthesis of anomalous frequencies recognized by the dynamic grey-box method can all raise remarkably the reliability and distinctness of precursory information associated with the Datong Ms 6.1 earthquake.It has provided a criterion and index for evaluation and

In this paper,the method of Information Synthesis of Seismogenic System(ISSS)has been used to describe and evaluate the evolution process of self-organization of seismcgenic system in the Capital circle.Through the synthesis of precursory information,the criterion and possible index which characterize the transition of the seismogenic system from steady-state to unsteady-state and then towards the attractor cif a new steady-state have been investigated.The result shows that the synthesis of comprehensive precursor)deformation anomalies of the seismogenic large system(fault-network in the Capital circle),the information synthesis of precursory anomalies of sub-system(a few main fault zones in the Capital circle),and the unweighted or weighted synthesis of anomalous frequencies recognized by the dynamic grey-box method can all raise remarkably the reliability and distinctness of precursory information associated with the Datong Ms 6.1 earthquake.It has provided a criterion and index for evaluation and forecasting the trend of future seismicity in the Capital circle.