白沙河平原区需水预测

WATER DEMAND FORECAST IN BAISHA ALLUVIAL PLAIN

白沙河平原区为青岛市蔬菜基地，农业为主要用水户，根据本区未来菜粮比例进一步提高、城乡生活水平不断提高、乡镇工业迅速发展、节水意识有所提高等特点．设计了包括工业、农业和生活需水的需水预测模型，预测结果表明，工业及生活用水比例将不断提高，农业用水仍占主要地位，但增幅不大。预测结果为管理模型设计提供了信息．

Baisha alluvial plain is a vegetable base of Qingdao City and agriculture is the main water consumer in the area. Considering the regional characters that more vegetables will be planted than grains, the living standards will be raised rapidly, town and township industries will develop greatly and the concept of saving on water will be gradually accepted, a water demand forecast model is designed considering water consumption by industry, agriculture and residents. The model is not so complex but operational and the result indicates that industrious and domestic water demand will increase significantly but agricultural water demand will still dominate in spite of its small increase.