应用综合预报模式分析哈尔滨市工农业生产的发展态势

analyzing Developing Tendency of Industrial and AgrlculturalProduct of Harbin by Syntheilc Prediction Patten

本文应用动态系统预报的多模型多算法综合模式对哈尔滨市1993—2000年的工业总产值、农业总产值进行预测.结果表明,工业与农业总产值按80年不变价格计算,皆可提前达到翻两番的目的.

The dissertation utillizes the synthetic model with multi-model and mul-ti-method of dynamic system predictive to forecast gross industry product and gross agriclture product of Harbin between 1993 to 2000. The forecast leads to the result that gross industry and agriculture product all can reach the aim of increasing three times ahead based on the invariable price of 1980.