计算机模拟在泥石流区选线风险分析中的应用

THE APPLICATION OF COMPUTER SIMULATION FOR RISK ASSESSMENT ON THE RAILWAY ALIGNMENTS IN DEBRIS FLOW REGIONS

本文探讨计算机模拟方法在泥石流地区铁道线路方案风险分析中的应用。文中首先介绍了风险分析的基本概念和内容;然后提出了泥石流地区大段落定线方案风险分析的模拟方法和铁路泥石流二次灾害发生风险模拟的方法;最后进行了模拟结论反映真实系统准确程度的讨论。

This paper investigates the application of computer simulation for risk assessment on the alignments in railway design in debris flow regions. First, the concept and content of risk assessment are introduced. Then, two methods of risk assessment for the alignments in railway design and the disaster of overturning trains caused by debris flow are presented. Finally, the difference between the computer simulation and the real system is discussed.