浙江省能源效率影响因素研究

本文在浙江省各种能源资源利用现状的基础上,归纳出对浙江省能源效率产生影响的八个因素,然后建立多元线性回归模型,采用逐步回归法进行分析。研究表明,技术进步这一能源影响因素在浙江这一区域并不显著,同时也排除了房地产投资、环境保护(废气排放)和经济增量对能源效率的显著影响。分析还表明,价格指数、对外贸易和产业结构是能源效率的显著影响因素,特别是产业结构和对外贸易对能源效率的影响最明显。最后,在研究结果的基础上,对浙江省能源利用方面提出了对策和建议。

Based on analysis on the current situation of all energy resource utilization, this paper has summarized eight factors affecting energy efficiency in Zhejiang Province and then set up a linear multiple regression model and uses stepwise regression method to analyze the factors. The research shows that technological progress, energy influence factor, is not obvious in Zhejiang at same time and also has ruled out the notable impacts of real estate investment, environment protection （exhaust emission）and economic increment on the energy efficiency. The analysis also shows that the price index, foreign trade and industrial structure are the significant influence factors of energy efficiency, especially the industrial structure and foreign trade are very significantly. Finally, based on the results of the study, the paper has put forward some suggestions for utilization in energy Zhejiang province.