浙江农村居民收入的灰色预测分析

An Analysis of Grey Prediction on Rural Residents' Income in Zhejiang Province

灰色关联度分析和灰色预测模型的结果显示,未来几年中浙江农村居民人均纯收入仍将快速增长,但其结构的基本格局不会改变,非农劳动收入始终是农民收入的主要组成部分。我们要从农民人均纯收入结构分析中入手,提高农民向城市的转移速度,增加农村居民工资收入及家庭二、三产业经营收入,大力推进农业结构性调整,加快农业生产经营方式向集约化、规模化、产业化大生产经营的转变,使农村居民人均纯收入保持较快增长。

The research on grey correlation analysis and grey prediction model shows that,in the coming years,the per capita net income of rural residents will continue to increase rapidly in Zhejiang Province,its basic structure won＇t change,and non-agricultural income is still the main part of it.Starting from analyzing the structure of per capita net income,we will make an effort to quicken the pace to transfer rural residents to cities,increase their wage income and household income from secondary and tertiary industries,adjust agricultural structure,transfer agriculture to intensive,large-scale,and industrial operation production and operation,and guarantee rapid increase in the per capita net income of rural residents.