摘要
本文就一类连续状态、无限方案且方案与状态参数相关的多目标不确定型决策问题,设计了一种交互式不确定型决策方法——乐观系数法。利用这一决策方法通过与决策者进行对话,最终能够获得关于决策者希望目标水平的满意目标乐观系数,满意约束观乐系数及其相应的决策方案。在建模的基础上,把这一方法应用于R&D 项目选择和资源分配问题,取得了良好的效果。
As for as a class of multiobjeetive uncertain decision problem with infinite feasible plans related to continuous state parameters is considered,this paper develops an interaetive decision analgsis method-Opti- mism Index Decision Method,by means of which the decision-makers sati- sfiedo bjective-optimism index,constraint-optimism index and decision plan with vespeet to his inspivation level can be got.on the basis of modelling, this method ia applied for the R&D project aelection and vesource allo- cation problem,and the result is satisfactory.
关键词
不确定型决策
乐观系数
项目选择
decision under uncertainty
optimism
index
project
selection
multiobjective decision making
decision analysis
