我国房地产业发展的综合评价——基于动态因子分析法

COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT OF CHINA'S REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENT:A RESEARCH BASED ON THE DYNAMIC FACTOR ANALYSIS

我国房地产业在经济发展中具有重要作用。运用动态因子分析法,侧重从房地产开发和销售的角度对2005—2009年全国31个省市的房地产发展水平进行综合评价。结果表明:从动态的角度来看,全国房地产业发展水平整体呈上升趋势。就横向比较而言,北京房地产开发和销售的综合水平在全国各省区处于领先地位。部分经济发达地区和沿海省区综合排名相对靠前,如天津、广东、福建等。西部地区相对落后,平均综合得分较低,表明房地产业的发展与经济发达程度存在一定的关系。总的来说,全国各地区的房地产业开发和销售的发展状况普遍表现正常,行业发展态势较好。

China＇s real estate industry plays an important role in economic development.This paper is based onthe panel data of our country＇s 31 provinces from 2005 to 2009,using dynamic factor analysis to comprehensiveevaluate the level of real estate development that focus from development and sale.The results indicate that fromthe dynamic point of view,the national real estate development is rise.The horizontal comparison,Beijing has thehighest level of integrated real estate development.Some economically developed regions and the relatively highranking of integrated coastal provinces,such as Tianjin,Guangdong,Fujian and so on.The relatively backwardwestern regions,indicating that there is a certain regional characteristics in the development of real estate.In aword,real estate development in all regions of the state generally performed as normal,the industry developmenttrend is good.