基于Markov链的社员与合作社系统平稳运行分析

Analysis on Stability of Membership and Cooperative System

近年来,农业合作社发展迅速,成为农民联合起来办大事、增产增收的重要平台。这里将社员与合作社看做一个系统,选取影响社员与合作社系统平稳运行的八个关键因素,画出因素间的网络结构关系图,根据Markov链理论得出网络结构关系图的邻接矩阵和Markov链的转移概率矩阵,最后通过计算得到该Markov链的平稳分布,并根据平稳分布结果,给出合理解释和相关建议。

In recent years,agricultural cooperatives developed rapidly.It has become important platform for farmers to do great things,increased production and their income.This paper set membership and cooperative as a system,selected the 8 key elements which influence the stable running to the system,got the elements＇ network structure diagram,then accorded Markov chain theory that got the adjacency matrix and Markov chain transition probability matrix and obtained the Markov chain＇s stationary distribution by calculating,accorded to the results,gave a reasonable explanations and relevant suggestions.