河南省“三化”协调发展评价研究

Study on the Evalution of Coordinative Development among New-style Industrialization,New-style Urbanization and Agricultural Modernization in Henan Province

借鉴运用效益理论与平衡理论为理论基础的协调度评价模型,以河南省新型城镇化、新型工业化和农业现代化"三化"协调发展的协调度为核心,实证评价2000年、2005年、2010年的协调度,分析预测2015年的协调度.由此得出结论,河南省"三化"协调总体较好,总的发展趋势是逐步提高,2000年处于初级协调状态,2005年和2010年为中级协调,到2015年预测将达到良好协调状态.

Using the evaluation model of coordinative degree which based on the benefits theory and balance theory, this article calculated the coordinative degree among new-style industrialization, new-style urbanization and agricultural modernization in Henan province. After anlysis, concluded that the general trend of coordinative development is to gradually increase in the initial coordination of the state in 2000, 2005 and 2010 for the intermediate coordination, 2015 ,forecast to reach a well-coordinated state.