我国古代科技与经济关系定量研究

Quantitative Assessment of the Relations between Sci-Tech and Economy in Ancient China

本文开创性的以我国古代整个发展历史长河为背景,分析了我国古代科技对经济的作用模式,发现古代科技对经济具有明显促进作用,但这种促进作用存在天花板效应,并进而分析了不同科技要素:科学发现数量、农学、其它学科、不同科学家类型和比重等对经济的影响模式。在以上分析基础上,提出破解现代科技对经济天花板效应的启示,以期为我国现代科技与经济发展的政策制定提供定量考量。

Creatively taking the long history of development in our ancient country as background, this article analyzes the model of action of Sci-Tech to economy, and finds that Sci-Tech promotes economy apprentely. However there is a ceiling effect in this promotion. Then it analyzes the models of how different science technological factors influencing economy, which include numbers of scientific discoveries, agronomy, other subjects, and different types and specific gravity of scientists. Based on those above analysis, the article puts forward the enlightenment of that ceiling effect, and provides a metered reference for the policy of our modern Sci-Tech and the economic development.