物价稳定、货币流通速度与宏观调控愿景把握

Stabilization of Price,Velocity of Money Circulation and Goal of Macro-control

对欧美国家和我国曾经发生的"货币流通速度陡升型通胀"和"货币流通速度陡降型通缩"进行实证分析表明,现阶段我国货币流通速度似处于一个非渐变、非常规的特殊时期,相关不确定性因素一旦演变为确定性的组合,很可能产生经济运行中的某种临界转换点,并可能对我国货币政策和宏观政策调控带来挑战。应加强对货币流通速度的监测和对货币需求变化的研究预测,进而优化市场预期管理和宏观应急管理,提高应对货币流通速度突变型通胀、通缩的能力,以更好地追求与维护物价稳定和提高宏观调控水平。

By investigating into ＂the soar inflation＂ and ＂the descend deflation＂ happened in both Western countries and China, it shows that, at the moment, the velocity of money circulation is of mutation and in the unusual phase. Once these uncertainties became certain, some critical turning points in economic operation may be produced, which brought challenge to our monetary policy and macroeconomic control. Therefore, we should stengthen the monitor of velocity of money circulation and the forcast of money demands, optimize the market expecting supervision and macro emergency management, enhance the ability to answer to the inflation and deflation which is due to the sudden changing of currency velocity, to persue stabilization of price and enchance macro control ability.