对90年代经济增长的中长期预测

On Forecast of Mid-long Period Economic Growth in 1990's

采用经济计量与投入产出方法相结合的中国宏观经济模型,从宏观上对未来10年我国经济增长的总趋势、经济结构变化、固定资产投资规模及投向,以及积累与消费关系等方面作了全方位、多方案的分析预测。阅读了此文,可以使我们对我国90年代的经济发展有所预见。

The 'Chinese Macro-economic Model' is used to forecast the development of Chinese economics in 1990's. An approach is made to the focal points of the economic works in China and a suggestion is put forward that focus should be turned timely to the adjustment of industrial structure,the appropriate reduction of accumulation and the encourgement of consumption so as to stimulate market and facilitate adjustment of industrial structure.