中国液态生物质燃料产业发展的间接社会收益分析

ANALYSIS OF INDIRECT SOCIAL BENEFITS FROM LIQUID BIOMASS FUEL INDUSTRY IN CHINA

液态生物质燃料在发展过程中具有外部性,体现出的间接社会收益应得到中国政府的重视,也是该产业扩大发展的重要依据。提出液态生物质燃料产业发展的间接社会收益概念,分析该产业在原料搜集和种植、产品消费等过程中产生的额外经济价值,以度量对改善生态环境的直接作用。在分析生物质燃料原料分布和理清原料搜集的细节后,利用直接市场法测算了未来20年中国发展液态生物质燃料的间接社会收益,发现:到2015年,来自该产业的间接社会收益将达1 000亿元以上,到2030年将突破1万亿元。巨大的社会经济价值从另一个侧面折射出液态生物质燃料产业发展的必要性。

Liquid biomass fuel reveals the externality in its developing process.The indirect social benefit shall be paid more attention by Chinese Government,and it is also a major factor for the development of this industry.This paper introduced the concept of indirect social benefit for the development of liquid biomass fuel industry.Objectively,the additional economic value mainly derives from the positively direct implement of ecological environment when people is planting,collecting raw materials and consuming products.After analyzing the allocation of raw materials of biomass fuel and detailing the collection of raw materials,an estimation regarding the additional economic value was made.If China develops liquid biomass fuel industry in the future 20 years,by 2015,the indirect social benefits will reach 100 billion yuan of above,even better,it will breaks through 1 trillion yuan in 2030.It will bring enormous economic and social value,from this scenario,the development of biomass fuel industry is necessary.