试论韩国、智利与不丹经济发展模式之成功及不可模仿性——兼论破赶超思维立追随战略

Discussion on the Success of Economic Development Pattern in Korea,Chile and Bhutan

作为第三世界三种比较成功的发展模式——韩国模式、智利模式、不丹模式,前两种模式只具有战术意义,不丹模式则具有战略意义。韩国模式已不可复制,智利模式也日渐式微,现代化危机的加深却使不丹模式的影响日益扩大,然而,对传统现代化模式的路径依赖与后发国家欠发达的现实却使现代化转型困难重重,只有突破赶超思维定势,对智利模式与不丹模式进行合理扬弃,兼顾工业化与现代化转型的双重目标,建立起新型的追随发展战略,后发国家才能把发展建立在以人为本的全面发展目标之上,逐步实现后现代转型。

South Korea,Chile and Bhutan are the three third world countries having successful development pattern.And the development patterns of former two countries are of tactical meaning,but Bhutan＇s development pattern has strategic meaning.Korean pattern has not been duplicated,and Chile＇s pattern has also grown weak,while the intensifying of modernization crisis makes the importance of Bhutan＇s development pattern deeper.However,the dependence on traditional modernization pattern and the reality of less development and later-coming countries makes the transformation of modernization difficult.And as long as we break through the mindset of catching up,make reasonable abandonment of Chile and Bhutan pattern,considering the double goals of transformation of industrialization and modernization,establishing a new type of following development strategy,and later-coming countries can achieve an overall and people-oriented development goal,and gradually achieve the post-modern transformation.