经济增长理论的拨乱反正——针对新古典经济增长理论

Bringing Order out of Chaos for Economic Growth Theory——Arguments against Neoclassical Theory of Economic Growth

新古典经济增长理论从头至尾都是错误的,它只是一套由数学工具杜撰而成的理论。在技术不变条件下,资本和劳动的比例只能是固定的,边际产量递减规律只是幻觉。只有技术进步才能使资本劳动比例上升,但资本边际产量递减的结论在这样的条件下不能成立;技术进步使得人均资本量以及人均产量增长,因此,技术进步率、人均资本量增长率以及人均产量增长率三者相等;在长期中,产业结构的变化以及第三产业比重的不断提高会导致技术进步率、人均资本量和人均产量增长率呈现下降趋势。

Neoclassical growth theory is wrong from the very beginning to the end, it is only a theory made by the mathematical fabrication. Under the fixed technical condition, the proportion of capital and labor is steady, so the law of diminishing marginal productivity is just an illusion. The technology advancement can make the capital - labor proportion on rise, but the conclusions of diminution of capital marginal productivity can not be established under this condition ; technological progress causes amount of capital on average and per capita production to grow, therefore, the rates of technocal progress, the growth of Amount of capital on average and the growth of percapital production are equal. Changes in industrial structure as well as increasing proportion of tertiary industry will lead to the declining rates for technical progress, amount of capital on average and per capita production in the long run.