通货膨胀影响因素及发展趋势分析

Analysis on Influencing Factors and the Developing Trend of Inflation

本文分析了近期经济运行中影响通货膨胀的主要因素货币供应量、人民币汇率和外汇储备,认为我国短期内不会出现通货膨胀,但中期存在通货膨胀可能性较大,同时指明了未来时期通货膨胀的发展趋势。

This paper analysed the current major factors that affect inflation： currency supply level, exchange rate of RMB and foreign exchange deposit. It believes that inflation can not appear in the short-run and it will come ture by medium term.In the meam time it poiz^ted out the developing trend of inflation in the future.