黑龙江森林资源变动与经济增长关系的探讨

Discussion on the Relationship Between Amount Changes of Forest Resources and Economic Growth in Heilongjiang Province

分析黑龙江省森林资源随经济增长的历史消长变动趋势,表明黑龙江省森林资源消耗与经济增长之间关系正逐渐趋于协调。探讨黑龙江省森林资源变动与经济增长内在联系的定量研究方法。以把握和协调黑龙江省森林资源变动与经济增长关系为目标,基于SPSS的相关分析和回归分析法对未来黑龙江省森林资源与经济增长的关系做出判断。结果表明,未来几年,黑龙江省近成过熟林蓄积和天然林蓄积会随人均地区生产总值增长而减少;而森林面积、人工林面积与蓄积、幼龄林蓄积、中龄林面积与蓄积以及天然林面积都会随人均地区生产总值增长而增加。

The history trend of forest resources with economic growth in Heilongjiang province was briefly analyzed,which showed that the relationship between forest resources consumption and economic growth was becoming more and more coordinated.The quantitative research method of the internal relationships between amount changes of forest resources and economic growth was discussed.In order to understand and coordinate the relationship between them in Heilongjiang province,future judgments were made based on regression analysis and the correlation analysis of SPSS.The results show that over mature and natural forest stock would be reduced with the increase of GDP per capita in the next few years,while forest area,plantation area and stock,young forest stock,middle-aged forest area and stock and natural forest area all increase to the contrary.