航空兵火力突击兵力需求分析与建模

Analysis and Modeling of Demand of Forces for Aviation Force Air-to-Ground Fire Strike

针对当前兵力需求以概率分析法为主,获得兵力需求量不完全符合体系对抗条件下作战情况的问题。从系统角度出发,以获得航空兵火力突击的兵力需求量为目标,根据三道防线的简化假设,建立了计算兵力需求量的非线性规划模型。利用马尔科夫过程理论以及概率分析法确定模型中的参数,建立体系对抗下的火力突击兵力需求模型,并给出模型的求解流程,为制定航空兵进攻作战计划提供了必要分析手段。通过案例证明了该模型和方法的可行性和有效性。

Aiming at the problem that researches at present give priority to probability analysis method and the computation of the demanding can＇ t coincide with the situation of the systematic combat,the paper targets the optimization of the military strength demand of fire striking towards the ground from a systematic point of view.On the assumption that the defense consists of aviation force,air-defense missile and ground-air gun,the non-linear optimization model is founded to compute the military strength demand.The markov chain and probability analyze method is put forward,and then the parameters of the model can be confirmed.The model of the military strength demand during the fire strikes in systematic combat is established and the computing steps of the model are given.The model can be used as necessary analysis means to design an attacking combat plan.The feasibility and validity of the model and method is proved by an example.