基于ESDA的中国西部省域产业结构的实证分析

Empirical Analysis of the Western China's Provincial Industrial Structure base on ESDA

通过在全域和局域内进行检验,表明西部省域产业结构间存在空间依赖性,提出了研究产业结构变化的空间误差模型,对西部12省域产业结构变动进行了空间计量回归。结果显示,西部省域产业结构间存在明显的空间依赖性;产业结构的初始值、人均GDP、全社会固定资产投资等因素对产业结构变化的影响具有显著的空间变异现象,说明这些因素对产业结构的影响存在显著差异的原因是所在区域的不同。基于此两点,得出结论:西部12省区应该作为一个系统整体分析,纳入空间依赖性要素,结合相邻省域的产业结构状况来考虑推进省域产业结构的高度化,针对性地提出促进西部省域产业升级的对策建议。

In the global and local area within the inspection,it was the western province area that existed the spatial dependence between industrial structures,the research of the changes in industrial structure of spatial error model was put forward,and the 12 western provinces were performed the domain of industrial structure changes by spatial econometric regression.The results showed that： The industrial structure of Western provinces in the space between the distinct dependence was confirmed;The industrial structure of the initial value,per capita GDP,total fixed asset investment on the impact of changes in industry structure had significantly spatial variability of the phenomenon,that these factors which influenced on the industrial structure were significant difference exists because of different areas.Based on these two points,the authors concluded： 12 western provinces and autonomous regions as a whole system analysis should include the elements of spatial dependence,combined with the adjacent industrial structure of provincial status to consider of promoting the advancement of industrial structure Provincial,then promoting industrial upgrading western provinces countermeasures were put forward.