水稻种植户生产性资金投入行为及其影响因素——以黑龙江佳木斯地区为例

Rice Grower's Productive Investment and its Influencing Factors——A Case Study in Jiamusi of Heilongjiang Province

采用对黑龙江佳木斯市桦南县和桦川县305户农户2009年全年水稻种植投入产出的调查数据,实证分析了水稻种植户生产性资金投入行为及其影响因素。运用Logit模型对固定生产投资可能性的影响因素进行了计量检验,结果表明:家庭规模、非农就业比例、家庭平均教育水平、耕地面积、家庭经营收入、信贷水平、农户对稻米最低收购价格期望度对固定生产性投资有显著影响;是否发生灾害对农户生产性投资规模无显著影响。运用Tobit模型对生产性资金投入规模的影响因素进行了计量检验,结果表明:家庭规模、非农就业比例、家庭平均教育水平、耕地面积、家庭经营收入、信贷水平和家庭住房价值、农户对稻米最低收购价格期望度、是否发生灾害对农户生产性投资规模有显著影响。在模型检验结果的基础上,提出促进水稻种植户增加固定生产性投资和增加生产性资金投入的合理建议:提高稻米最低收购价格;提高水稻种植的规模化程度;努力提高水稻种植户的教育水平;确保水稻种植户能够及时获得生产性资金贷款。

Based on the input-output survey data of rice growing in 2009 from 305 rural households in Huanan and Huachuan counties of Heilongjiang province, this paper analyzes the rice grower＇s behavior of investment in production and its effects. This paper, by using Logit model, examines the factors that possibly affect the investment in the fixed production. The result shows that family size, proportion of non-agricultural employment, average family education level, cultivated areas, family operating income, credit level, and expectation of the minimum rice purchasing price have significant impact on the investment in fixed production, whereas disaster occurrence has no significant effect. However, the above factors have significant impact on investment in fixed production by using Tobit model. Based on the model test results,this paper proposes that it is essential to increase the rice grower＇s investment in fixed production and capital input in production, increase the minimum rice purchasing price, increase the scale in rice growing, enhance rice grower＇s education and make sure that rice growers will get access to loan for production on time.