城镇居民生活消费水平回归分析与预测——以四川南充为例

The Regression Analysis and Prediction of Urban Residents' Life Level of Consumption in Nanchong

伴随着我国经济的快速发展,南充的经济也快速增长,城镇居民的生活消费水平不断提高。城镇居民消费在我国社会经济发展过程中的作用越来越重要。通过对南充城镇居民消费水平的研究来说明以下两个问题:一是通过一些指数比较可以看出这十几年南充城镇居民生活水平逐渐提高;二是通过寻找一些影响城镇居民消费水平的相关变量建立回归模型,得出居民收入水平和市场物价水平对城镇居民的消费水平有较大影响,且预测出未来三年南充城镇居民生活消费水平逐年增高。

With the rapid development of the economy in China,the economy in Nanchong is also growing fast,urban resi dents＇life level of consumption has enhanced ever-increasing.The urban consumption in the process of our social economy is playing more and more important role in China.This article desires to illustrate the following two questions with the research of urban residents＇life level of consumption in Nanchong：One is that through some index comparison which occurs in those more than ten years we can see our urban residents＇ life level of consumption in Nanchong is enhancing gradually;the other is that to look for some correlated variables which influence urban residents＇ life level to establish regression model, we may reach a conclu sion that the income level of resident and market prices have larger effects on urban residents＇ life level of consumption.And we can also predict urban residents＇life level of consumption in Nanchong will improve year after year in the next three years.