建筑业增长差异及影响因素研究——以江浙沪为例

Growth Variation and Its Impact Factors of the Construction Industry:An Empirical Study of Jiangsu,Shanghai and Zhejiang province in China

引入变异系数、基尼系数及泰尔指数分析了江浙沪三地建筑业发展差异的演变动态,结果表明自1999年后三地的建筑业差距呈缩小趋势。建立面板数据模型分析了江浙沪三地1998～2009年建筑行业发展的影响因素,研究发现,GDP、开放度、城市化水平等七个指标对地方建筑业发展均有正的显著影响,但对不同地区的影响强度不同。较落后的地区,相同因素影响的强度反而较大,从而使得整体差异变小。

The dynamic evolution of the construction industry development is analyzed with coefficient of variation （CV）, gini coefficient and theil index in three areas, Jiangsu, Shanghai, and Zhejiang province in China. The results show that the differences of these districts tend to reduce since 1999. The impact factors of the construction industry growth are identified by establishing panel data model based on the data from 1998 to 2009. The construction industry developments in these three areas are positively related to seven economic indicators, such as GDP, open degree, and urbanization. But the influencing strength of these factors is different. There is stronger influence on under-developing area with narrowing growth variation.