摘要
在对某地区2000～2009年经济增长与能源消费量、能源强度、能源结构和资本存量的原始数据进行统计描述的基础上,应用灰色关联分析法和格兰杰因果关系检验法对该地区的经济增长与能源消耗之间的动态关系进行了讨论,并对该地区2000～2009年的经济增长效率进行了相对性评价。分析认为:虽然该地区经济增长与能源消费量有着较强的关联度,但是能源消耗与经济增长之间并不存在明显的因果关系;DEA评价显示,该地区近3年的经济增长达到了Pareto有效状态。
Based on the statistical description of the raw data about economic growth and energy consumption, energy intensity, energy structure and capital stock in a region （2000 -2009） , the paper applies the grey correlation analysis method and Granger causality test method to discuss the dynamic relationship between economic growth and energy consumption of the region, and also evaluates the region＇s economic growth, the relative efficiency in the period from 2000 to 2009. The results show that although the region＇s economic growth and energy consumption have a strong correlation, there is no clear and cas- ual correlation between the energy consumption and economic growth. Furthermone, the evaluation shows that the region＇s economic growth has reached the Pareto efficient state in the past three years.
出处
《长安大学学报（社会科学版）》
2011年第4期47-51,共5页
Journal of Chang'an University(Social Science Edition)
基金
河南省政府决策研究招标课题(2011B530)
河南省哲学社会科学规划项目(2010FJJ043)
