摘要
利用ARIMA模型,计算得出2008年湖北省第1季度GDP实际累计值比预测值要低一些,GDP累计增速有所减缓,认为这主要是2008年年初的雪灾所造成的,这场雪灾给很多行业造成了负面影响,对GDP增速有拉低作用.
By predicting with ARIMA model, we find that the actual value of GDP of Hubei Province in first quarter in 2008 is lower than the predictive value and the increasing speed of GDP has slown down. We think that the Snow Disaster happened in early 2008 is the main cause. The Snow Disaster gave a lot of negative effect to many industries and the increasing speed of GDP.
出处
《中南民族大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
2011年第4期115-119,共5页
Journal of South-Central University for Nationalities：Natural Science Edition
基金
湖北省统计科研计划项目"雪灾对湖北省经济影响的评估模型和统计分析"(HB082-10)
