摘要
近来国际粮食价格大幅上涨,粮食问题关系着我国十几亿人口的温饱,分析国际粮食价格对我国通货膨胀的影响有非常重要的意义。粮食价格乃百价之基,必须慎重对待国际粮食价格持续上涨对我国通货膨胀的冲击。文章通过Granger因果关系、协整关系检验首先验证我国粮食价格对国内通货膨胀的影响,然后验证国际粮食价格对我国粮食价格的影响,从而间接推断出国际粮食价格会对我国通货膨胀率产生影响。
Recently, international grain price rises sharply. Grain is related to more than one billion peopleJs life in China, so the analysis of international grain price impact on Chinese inflation is very important. Grain price is the base price of all commodities＂ price; the impact of international grain price on Chinese inflation should be taken into consideration seriously. In this paper, granger causality test and co-integration test were used to verify that whether Chinese grain price had any impacts on domestic inflation and whether international grain price would affect Chinese grain price, in order to indirectly inferred the international grain price would impact the inflation rate of China.
出处
《农业经济与管理》
2011年第6期38-44,67,共8页
Agricultural Economics and Management
基金
上海教委重点创新项目(11ZS94)
上海大学科研项目(A.10-0133-10-002)
上海大学研究生创新基金(B.16-0133-10-018)
