基于引力模型的中国出口流量国别分布影响因素研究

Empirical Study on Influence Factors of China's Export National Distribution Based on Gravity Model

本文基于1997-2008年中国对25个主要贸易伙伴出口额等293个面板数据样本建立了贸易引力模型,并通过对比筛选出了两国GDP等9个影响中国出口流量国别分布的主要因素,研究发现不同因素不同程度、不同方向地影响着中国出口流量的国别分布。

Based on 293 panel data such as China＇s export value to its 25 primary trade partners during 1997 to 2008, the authors established a gravity model and chose 9 factors such as bilateral gross domestic product （GDP）, which may affect China＇s export flow to different partners, comparison shows that different factors influenced China＇s export national distribution in different degrees and different directions.