经济全球化对发达国家居民消费结构变化影响研究

Assessing the Effects of Economic Globalization on the Structural Changes of Residential Consumptions in OECD Countries: 1985-2005

通过建立二次几乎完美的需求系统(QUAIDS)模型,本文研究了经济全球化对22个OCED国家居民消费结构变化的影响。主要结论:第一,居民消费结构的升级方向是从对食品、衣着和家庭耐用品等可贸易商品的需求转移为对医疗保健、交通通讯和娱乐文化教育等不可贸易商品的需求;第二,经济全球化与居民消费结构演化方向一致,其中,对外贸易起主导作用,其影响作用远大于FDI;第三,相对于不可贸易商品,居民的可贸易商品消费受经济全球化影响的程度更大,其中,食品消费影响最大,医疗保健消费最小;第四,经济全球化对不同OECD国家居民消费结构变化的影响存在差异性,其中,对经济规模较大国家的作用效果更加明显。

This paper aims to assess the effects of economic globalization on the structural changes of residential consumption in OECD countries. The （QUAIDS） model and structural panel model are applied countries based on the historical statistical data series from Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System to residential consumptions in 22 OECD 1985 to 2005. The findings of this paper precisely test four major hypotheses ： （ 1 ） the structural changes of residential consumption in the selected OECD countries presented transition trend from tradable goods to non -tradable goods; （2） The economic globalization stimulates such transition trend, wherein the foreign trade played more dominant roles compared with that of foreign direct investment （FDI） ; （3） The tradable goods are more sensitive to be affected by economic globalization comparing with non - tradable goods, wherein food is the most sensitive one among other tradable goods and medical care is the most insensitive one among other non - tradable goods ; （d） There are significant differences to the effects of econom- ic globalization on the structural changes the countries with larger economic scale of residential consumption in different OECD countries, and usually have more significant effects.