对外直接投资对母国的逆向技术溢出效应——基于东亚新兴经济体的实证研究

Research on Reverse Technology Spillover Effects of Outward Direct Investment——An Empirical Research Based on Eastern Asian New Emerging Economies

本文在利用索洛剩余法测算东亚新兴经济体各国(地区)1980-2009年全要素生产率的基础上,采用VAR模型、脉冲响应函数以及方差分解方法动态性地研究对外直接投资对母国的逆向技术溢出效应。研究结论表明,东亚新兴经济体各国(地区)对外直接投资的逆向技术溢出效应具有明显的差异性,韩国、泰国、马来西亚、新加坡、印度尼西亚、菲律宾在不同程度上表现为正效应,但传导途径差异较大;而香港表现为负效应,中国对外直接投资的逆向技术溢出效应不显著。

The paper uses Solow residual method to measure total factor productivity of emerging economies of East Asian countries （regions） from 1980 to 2009, depending on the VAR model, impulse response function and variance decomposition methods. It analyzes the reverse technology spillover effects of outward directinvestment. The findings are that： the reverse technology spiUover effects of ODI among countries （regions） have obvious differences. South Korea, Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia and Philippines show positive effects on degrees and channels; but Hong Kong shows negative effects, the reverse technology spillover effects of ODI from China is not significant.