中国自主品牌汽车市场的现状及销量预测

Market Status and Sales Forecast of China's Self-brand Car

在分析我国自主品牌汽车发展现状的基础上,基于SPSS曲线预测和平滑指数法,对自主品牌汽车销量进行了预测研究.研究结果表明,采用三次曲线法可以比较有效地预测我国自主品牌汽车的销量,为汽车行业发展的预测研究提供了一种比较可行的方法.

Based on the analysis of current development status for China＇s self-brand cars,sales estimation were conducted by using SPSS curve estimation and exponential smoothing methods. The result shows that the cubic curve estimation model in SPSS is a relatively effective method to estimate auto sales, which provides an effective way for the sales estimation.