区域房价差异、劳动力流动与产业升级

Housing Price' Regional Differences,Labor Mobility and Industrial Upgrading

中国正在发生的大规模区域产业转移的动因是什么,区域房价差异对产业转移和产业升级产生哪些影响,是本文关注的焦点。作者引入房价因素,对新经济地理学模型进行拓展,发现区域房价差异导致劳动力流动,从而诱发产业转移。在此基础上,利用动态面板数据模型对2000-2009年中国35个大中城市进行实证检验,结果发现城市间的相对房价升高,导致相对就业人数减少,并促使产业价值链向高端攀升,实现了产业升级。对不同区域的深度分析表明,区域房价差异确实是影响东、中、西部地区产业转移和产业升级的一个重要因素。因此,制定合理的区域产业发展规划,加大对东部地区中高端产业发展的扶持力度,建立健全与产业转移相适应的住房政策和住房保障体系,是顺应产业转移趋势、避免部分区域产业空心化的必要措施。

Studying the Motivation for undergoing large-scale regional industrial transfer in China and the impact of housing price＇ regional differences on interregional industry transfer and upgrading of industry is the focus of this paper.Introducing housing price into new economic geography model,we can find that housing price＇ regional differences can induce labor mobility and promote industrial transfer.Based on this,using China＇s 35 large and medium cities＇ data in 2000-2009,the paper estimates dynamic panel data model.The results show rising relative housing prices between cities will cause relative fewer employment amounts and promote city＇s industrial upgrading from low-end value chain to high-end value chain.The profound analysis in different regions reveals housing price＇ regional differences is indeed one important factor for industrial transfer and industrial upgrading in the eastern,central and western regions.Therefore,formulating regional industry development planning scientifically,increasing support for high-end industry in eastern regions and establishing housing policy and housing security system to adapt the industrial transfer will be necessary methods to follow industrial transfer＇s trend and avoid industrial hollowing in the partial regions.