跨越古典与新古典的边界——刘易斯拐点研究新进展

Across the Border of Classical and Neoclassical:Newest Research on Lewis Turning Point

刘易斯拐点是指发展中国家从古典经济条件跨越到新古典经济条件时发展阶段出现重大转折点的时间段,其核心标志是劳动力从过剩逐渐转为短缺。这一衍生于发展经济学的理论命题,近年来越来越具有了"中国化"和"跨学科"的研究趋势。学者们的观点虽有不同,但研究的热情却十分高涨。鉴于此,本文将对:刘易斯拐点含义的理解;拐点成因的解析;刘易斯模型本身是否有缺陷;开放经济条件下的刘易斯拐点问题;刘易斯拐点"中国化"的微观机制分析;刘易斯拐点期中国社会政策与制度变迁等问题的研究新进展作一综述,以期深化对该命题的理解并提出进一步可能的热点研究方向。

Lewis turning point （LTP） refers to the periods of great turning point during development stages which develo- ping countries across from the classical economic conditions to neo-classical economic conditions,its core logo is the surplus la- bor force in developing countries has been turned into a shortage. This theoretical propositions derived from development eco- nomics has more and more characteristics with the ＂Chinese Style＂ and ＂interdisciplinary research trend＂ in recent years. Re- turn to Lewis＇s classic dual economics speaking to analyze the LTP theory, or according to the new phenomena and new ques- tions in evolution of the urban and rural labor market development in China and other developing countries to further reading and developing ＂Lewis Turning Point＂ theory, should make it have more fresh times characteristics and the universal explana- tory power？ Although scholars have different views, the researching enthusiasm is very high. In view of this, this paper will re- view the new progress of LTP researching： the understanding of Lewis turning point meaning; the causes of turning point analyti- cal;whether the Lewis＇ model itself is flawed;Lewis turning point problem in open economy condition;the microscopic mecha- nism analysis of Lewis turning point sinicization; China social policy and system change in Lewis turning point period. We want to deepened the understanding of LTP and put forward the proposition of the hot research direction.