上海世博会对上海市经济影响的定量评估

Quantitative Assessment of the Influence of Shanghai World Expo on Shanghai Economy

建立了7个指标来评估上海世博会的影响力,并对世博会所带来的变化进行分析、与往届世博会作纵向对比、与北京奥运会作横向对比;运用灰度预测模型、回归分析模型、乘数效应模型和BCC排序模型等,将评价指标定量化;构建了模糊多属性评估指标体系,对上海世博会的经济影响力给出了评分与评级。

This paper sets up seven index to assess the influeuce of Shanghai World Expo and analyses the changes brought by it by comparing Shanghai World Expo with the past Expos and Beijing Olympic games. We use models such as Gray Prediction Model, Regression Analysis Model, the multiplier effect of Sorting Models and BCC models to make quantifave asscssment and score and rate the economic influence of Shanghai World Expo by Building fuzzy multi-attribute evaluation index system.