东北深源地震对黑龙江及邻近地区浅源地震的影响分析

Influence of Northeast Deep-source Earthquake on Shallow-source Ones in Heilongjiang And Neighboring Place

1900年以来东北深源地震区6.0级以上深源地震与黑龙江及邻近地区5级左右浅源地震存在较好的对应关系。通过概率增益模型检验这种对应关系,发现并非随机对应,而是存在一定的内在物理联系。通过B分布函数的概率计算,预测2010年2月19日中俄交界6.5级地震后两年内,黑龙江及邻近地区发生5级左右地震的概率为0.58。

Since 1900 the northeast deep level is above 6.0 earthquake zone usage deep earthquake and Heilongjiang and adjacent area 5 magnitude or so shallow earthquake are with good corresponding relation, through the probability gain model to examine the corresponding relation, found that not random correspondenee, but there are certain physical contact. Through the B distribution function of the probability method to prediet 19 February 2010 the border between China and Russia within two years after a magnitude 6.5 earthquake, Heilong, jiang and adjaeent region is about the probability of earthquake level 5 to 0.58.