省直管县体制变革、财政分权与县级政府规模——基于规模经济视角的县级面板数据分析

Reform about Province-over-County System,Fiscal Decentralization and the Scale of County Governments:County-Level Panel Data Analysis from the Perspective of Economies of Scale

本文应用1997年-2005年间1938个县级面板数据,分析了我国省直管县体制变革、财政分权与县级政府规模间关系。发现"L"型、"U"型、直线型三种模型解释力渐弱;县级政府规模对人口数量、人口密度存在规模效应;省直管县体制对县级政府规模作用不显著;"利维坦效应"不适用于我国;"瓦格纳法则"在我国部分实现。

We analysed the relationship between Province-over-County financial system,fiscal decentralization and the scale of county government,based on 1997-2005 1938-county-level panel data.The conclusion is following： for economies of Chinese government cost scale,the explanatory power of ＂L＂ type,＂U＂ type and ＂linear＂ type model has been weakened;the effect of economies scale exists on China＇s population size,population density and county government scale;the relationship between Province-over-County financial system and county government scale is not significant;＂Leviathan effect＂ is not suitable for China;＂Wagner law＂ has been partly applied to China.