回归与ARMA模型在高等教育与经济增长关系研究的应用——以辽宁省为例

Application of Regression and ARMA Model to the Study on Higher Education and Economic Growth

运用回归与ARMA模型方法,采用1985-2008年的年度数据,对科教兴国和振兴东北老工业基地的战略背景下辽宁省高等教育发展与经济增长之间的关系进行了实证研究。研究表明,辽宁高等教育发展与经济发展存在着长期的均衡的协整关系,高等教育发展是经济发展的格兰杰原因,但经济发展对高等教育发展的促进作用不是很明显。

By regression and ARMA model method, using annual data from1985 to 2008, this paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between the development of higher education of Liaoning province and economic growth under the background of developing the country with science and education and revitalizing the old industrial bases in northeast region. The study shows that there are long - term equilibrium relationship between development of higher edu- cation and economic development of Liaoning. Development of higher education is the Granger causes of economic development, but the effect of economic development＇s promotion to the development of higher education is not very obvious.