主观博弈论视角下的两岸政治互信初探

On Cross-Strait Mutual Political Trust from the Subjective Perspective of Game Theory

本文从主观博弈论的视角指出两岸的政治互信就是我们在互为"他者"的情境下,互相理解,然后形成共同理解。通过对政治互信演进轨迹的历史分析,梳理出政治互信的逻辑起点、关键节点和路径依赖机制。最后对增进政治互信提出一种现实建构,即一种公共秩序和集体行动逻辑的达成,以及制度创新和文化实践的促动。

This paper,from the subjective perspective of game theory,points out that the mutual political trust on both sides means mutual understanding before reaching its common understanding in each other＇s ＂other＂ situations.It holds that we can tease out the logical starting point,the key nodes and the path-dependent mechanism by making a historical analysis of the evolution track in mutual political trust.Finally,we suggest an establishment of reality to enhance the mutual political trust,that is,to achieve the agreement of a kind of public order and logic of collective action,the institutional innovation and the cultural practices.