我国区域旅游产业发展潜力的时空差异研究

Study on Spatial-temporal Differences of Development Potential of Regional Tourism Industry in China

基于国内外旅游产业发展潜力现有研究成果,文章概括了旅游产业发展潜力的内涵与特性,构建了包含产业自我成长潜力和外源支撑潜力在内的区域旅游产业发展潜力评价指标体系,并运用加权主成分TOPSIS价值函数模型对我国31个省市旅游产业发展潜力进行了时空分析。研究表明:我国区域旅游产业发展潜力呈增长态势,并在空间上表现为东部较强、中部和东北部次之、西部较弱的非均衡格局,不少省份旅游产业发展潜力没有得到有效发挥。最后,文章归纳了加快我国旅游产业发展的两点启示。

Based on the existing study results of the development potential of tourism industry both at home and abroad, the paper sums up the connotation and features of development potential and establishes evaluation index system containing self-growth potential and external-supported potential. The paper then makes spatial-temporal analysis of tourism development potential in China＇ s 31 provinces and municipalities by using weighted principal components TOPSIS valuation function model. The study indicates that development potential of China＇ s regional tourism industry is on the rise. In terms of space distribution, there appears non-balanced situation, with eastern region displaying stronger, followed by middle region and north-eastern region, while western region is weaker and tourism development potential in quite a lot of provinces has not been brought into full play. Finally, the paper summarizes two suggestions on how to speed up the development of China＇ s tourism industry.