摘要
本文运用生命周期模型、家庭储蓄需求模型和家庭生育决策理论等分析了人口结构变化对居民消费的影响渠道,并利用2001～2009年中国农村省际面板数据对人口年龄结构、性别结构与居民消费的关系进行了经验分析。研究表明,农村少儿抚养比与农村居民消费率显著负相关,农村老年抚养比与农村居民消费率显著正相关,而农村人口性别比系数的稳健性较差。
Base on life circle model,family saving demand model and decision on birth theories etc.this paper analyzes the ways how rural papulation structure affects the rural household consumption.Taking advantage of provincial panel data in the years of 2001-2009,we analyze the correlation between age structure,sex structure and household consumption.The results as follows： children dependency ratio has a significant negative correlation with household consumption rate,and old dependency ratio has a positive effect on rural household consumption rate.By contrast,the coefficient of rural sex ratio is not robust.
出处
《人口与经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第1期49-56,共8页
Population & Economics
基金
国家自然科学基金青年项目(70803011)
关键词
农村少儿抚养比
农村老年抚养比
农村人口性别比
农村居民消费率
rural children dependency ratio
rural old dependency ratio
rural sex ratio
rural household consumption rate.
