肯尼亚多党政治能走多远

HOW FAR CAN KENYA'S MULTI-PARTY POLITICS GO

肯尼亚 90年代初转向多党制主要是为西方所迫。反对党多半以部族和地区为基础 ,很难形成联合阵线 ,未来联合前景也很渺茫。 8年来宪法改革艰难曲折 ,但有所进展 ,尤其是 1 997年议会根据党际议会集团 (IPPG)的建议通过的一些议案扩大了民主 ,推进了宪法改革 ;“市民社会”团体起过积极作用。但 1 998年以后宪法改革进程陷于僵局 ,表面上是因为执政党和主要反对党在分配宪法审查委员会代表名额上有分歧 ,而实质是双方都想控制宪改进程。

Kenya turned to multi-party politics in the early 1990s,mainly forced by the West.As the opposition parties largely rely on ethnic and regional support,they are hardly able to forge a lasting united front.For over 8 years,the country has experienced a slow and tortuitous process of constitutional reforms,though some headways have been made,especially because the parliament passed a few Bills in late 1997 based on the proposals of the Inter Party Parliamentary Group(IPPG),which have improved democracy and pushed forward constitutional reform.However,the process has come to a stalemate since early 1999,ostensibly because of difference between the ruling party and the opposition parties on distribution of membership in the Constitutional Review Committee,but the crux lies in that both sides want to put the constitutional reform process under their control.