中产阶级与埃及政局变化

Middle Class and the Changes of Egyptian Political Situation

本文认为,2011年埃及变局主要归因于中产阶级的民生问题。萨达特—穆巴拉克的政策以及各种外力导致了埃及社会结构的扭曲,引发中产阶级的政治地位下降、经济能力减弱、生活困难加剧,使中产阶级由社会的引领者变为政权的抗争者,最终颠覆了穆巴拉克政权。本文分析了中产阶级与这一社会变化之间的逻辑关系后强调,2011年埃及变局将有利于中产阶级的重新崛起与社会结构的合理发展。

This paper analyzes the structure of Egyptian society in different periods, and explains the reasons of its social changes in 2011. It is believed that Sadat-Mubarak administrations＇ political and economic policies had led to distortions in Egyptian social structure, and caused the fall of the middle class, then destabilized Egyptian society. This paper briefly analyzes the basic logical track of Egyptian changes and middle class, the middle class ultimately subvert the Mubarak regime. This paper does not only analyze internal factors, but also the external factors--the difficult historical situation and the huge international pressure of Arab countries like Egypt.