基于灰色-马尔可夫模型的厦门市房价预测

The forecast of real estate price in Xiamen based on Grey-Markov Model

针对房地产营销过程中,价格变化随机性的特点,将灰色GM(1,1)预测与马尔可夫预测有机结合,用马尔可夫模型修正灰色预测的结果,构成灰色-马尔可夫预测模型,并运用该模型预测2011年厦门市商品住宅均价。结果表明,运用灰色-马尔可夫链模型对房价进行预测是可行的。

For the uncertainty of price change in real estate market,This article combine gray GM（1,1）forecast with Markov forecast,use the Markov model to correct the results of Grey GM（1,1）to constitute a Grey-Markov forecasting model.And forecast the real estate price of Xiamen in 2011.The results show that the use of grey-Markov chain model for the forecast of real estate price is feasible.