摘要
利用浙江改革开放30多年的数据资料,对民间投资比重和三次产业比重进行协整建模分析,分析结果表明,民间投资对浙江三次产业结构的变化起到重要的作用。民间投资比重上升是拉动浙江第三产业比重上升的原因,从而说明浙江第三产业的发展主要是依靠民间资本的投入;但对第二产业而言,民间投资对其的作用是反向的,这说明浙江第二产业的发展主要是依靠政府的投资。
Bused on the data collected over the past 30 years since China's reform and opening up, this paper provides a eointegration analysis of the weights of non-governmental investment and three different industries. The results show that non-governmental investment had a great impact on industrial transition. The increase of the non-governmental investment weight was the main reason behind the increased tertiary industry in Zhejiang, thereby concludes that the development of the tertiary industry in Zhejiang mainly relied on non-governmental capital. However, for the secondary industry, it is the opposite for non-governmental investment and its development was mainly driven by government investment.
出处
《浙江树人大学学报》
2011年第4期45-48,57,共5页
Journal of Zhejiang Shuren University
基金
浙江省社会科学院2010年度基金课题"政府投资
民间投资与浙江产业转型"(10CYB16)的成果之一
关键词
民间投资
产业转型
协整分析
浙江经济
non-governmental investment
industrial transition
cointegration analysis
Zhejiang economy