发达地区人口、土地与经济城镇化协调发展度研究

Coordinate Development among Population,Land and Economy Urbanization in Developed Area:The Case of Jiangsu Province

江苏省作为中国东部沿海经济发达地区省份的典型代表,正处于城镇化加速发展的关键时期。新时期的城镇化是一个融合人口、土地与经济的复杂系统,不能从单方面衡量城镇化发展水平。在归纳总结城镇化内涵的基础上,选择人口城镇化、土地城镇化和经济城镇化为切入点,从三个方面衡量江苏省的城镇化水平的变化过程,研究不同时空城市在人口、土地和产业三方面协调发展的状态。结果显示,1998-2009年12年间江苏省人口城镇化、土地城镇化和经济城镇化的发展都呈现上升趋势,但在不同阶段处于主导地位的城镇化驱动力量不同,协调发展度也处于上升状态,从衰退发展阶段(1998-2003)逐渐发展到过渡阶段(2004-2005),最后到达协调发展阶段(2006-2009);在空间分布上,以2009年为例,综合评价结果显示,江苏省的城镇化水平和协调发展度总体水平较高,但是也存在区域分异明显的特点。

This paper aims to examine the coordinate development among Population urbanization, land urbanization and economy urbanization in Jiangsu province which is a typical delegate of developed area in the eastern coastal provinces. The authors point out that in the new period the urbanization is a complex system, it is a process of population to the town＇ s concentration, transformation and differentiation and a regional advance process of urban landscape, also a process of economic transformation. After reviewing the definitions of the urbanization, the authors believe the levels of urbanization can＇ t be only measured by population urbanization, but by Population urbanization land urbanization and economic urbanization. Recently, Jiang Su is in the accelerated development period of urbanization, Population keeps growing agglomeration, urban land scale expands unceasingly, urban economic developments quickly, Though time-series calculations, the author finds that the indexes of population urbanization level, land urbanization level and economy urbanization level from the 1998 to 2009 are in a trend of continuing upward, and during the period , the coordinate level of them is also gradual increasing. At the same time, in different stages the dominant driving forces of urbanization is different; the coordinate development is rising during the period, from the stage of recession development （ 1998 - 2003 ） , gradually to a transitional phase （2004-2005）, and finally to the stage of coordinate development （2006 -2009）. From the view of spatial pattern, through the comprehensive evaluation 2009, the urbanization level and the coordinate development of the overall level is high in Jiangsu province, but the overall development of urbanization level regional differentiation.