基于未确知网络分析法的土石坝风险分析研究

Risk Analysis of Earth-rock Dam Based on Unascertained Analytic Network Process

针对风险分析依赖于专家对未确知信息的判断,将未确知测度综合评价模型与网络分析法相结合,提出了未确知网络分析法.详细介绍了该法的基本理论,并将其应用于实际工程中.评价结果与模糊层次分析法的结果相一致,验证了未确知网络分析法在土石坝风险分析中应用的可行性和合理性.

In view of the risk analysis＇s dependance on expert＇s judgment on unascertained information,a new method named unascertained-analytic network process was proposed combining unascertained measure comprehensive evaluation model with analytic network process.The basic theory was introduced in particular and the method was then applied to an earth-rock dam＇s risk analysis.The result is consistent with that analyzed with fuzzy analytic hierarchy process,which indicates that the proposed method is feasible and reasonable.