GM(1,1)灰色模型在邮轮旅游预测中的应用

GM(1,1) Grey Model in the Application of the Cruise Forecast

根据2007年-2010年上海市邮轮旅游游客量的统计数据,利用GM(1,1)灰色模型对上海市2015年前的邮轮旅游游客量进行了预测。数据显示,灰色预测模型具有较高的拟合精度,预测结果对当地邮轮经济发展、规划具有一定的参考作用。

This article predicts the cruise tourists number by the year of 2015 in Shanghai with GM（1,1） grey model according to the statistics from 2007 to 2010.Data show that the grey forecasting model has a high fitting accuracy,and the results of the prediction have a valuable reference to the local cruise economic development and planning.