全要素生产率与中国经济增长关系研究——基于VAR模型视角

The Study of the Total Factor Productivity and Chinese Economic Growth Based on VAR Model

运用TFP的变动来对经济增长潜力展开分析,是国内外经济学界的常见研究思路。从新古典模型出发,对改革开放以来的中国TFP进行估算分解,并构建TFP、GDP增长、资本增长和劳动力增长之间的VAR模型。实证研究认为,目前中国已进入跨越式发展时期,应大力发展资本市场,促进资本要素的有效流动,促进产业结构优化,将提高劳动力受教育水平作为重要发展战略,注重进行技术基础的革新,提高经济增长质量,促进经济发展方式向集约型发展方式转变。

It is common to analyse potential economic growth using TFP changes.This article from the basic model and the new classical model of human capital,since the reform and opening to the China TFP decomposition,and constructs the TFP,GDP growth,capital growth and growth of labor between VAR model.The empirical research think that China has entered the great-leap-forward development period,should vigorously develop capital market,promote capital elements of the effective flow,promote industrial structure,will improve the labor education level by as an important development strategy,and to pay attention to the technical basis for innovation,improve the quality of economic growth,and promote economic development mode to intensive development mode change.